Where Does The Confidence In Seed Cotton Doubling Come From?

Can the price of seed cotton reach 7 yuan / jin? Many people do not dare to think, even Xinjiang cotton growers also sigh: so high! Where does the confidence of cotton farmers in Shandong Jinxiang come from?

Reporters came to Jinxiang.

In recent years, due to the drop in seed cotton prices, the cotton planting area has been reduced dramatically, and the original cotton fields have been planted with pepper and corn.

This village farmer Wang elder brother expects this year local cotton planting area to drop in 60-70%, moreover this year the rain is too many, the field falls the bud quantity to be many, estimated the unit output to drop 50 Jin / mu.

Mr. Wang knows well about the fact that things are scarce and expensive. In the light of severe cotton disaster in the Yangtze River Valley, new cotton will be on the market or there will be tight supply. This is one of the reasons why he is optimistic about the listing price of new cotton.

Local cotton farmers have the habit of storing cotton, and the selling price before and after February 2016 is only about 2.2 yuan / kg, and now the purchasing prices of cotton traders are running at 4.2-4.3 yuan / Jin.

Cotton farmers selling cotton before and after the Spring Festival now regret that they sell at least 2 yuan per catty.

Coincidentally, last year, the local dry garlic sale price at 2.5-2.6 yuan / Jin, this year the price of new garlic (not dried) is 2.5-3 yuan / kg, garlic price is at least 2 yuan / Jin higher than last year.

Wang big brother thinks, since garlic price can double, why not cotton price?

In addition, there are some special situations in the village.

High yield villages, and farmers' economic conditions are relatively good, so after the new flower listing, cotton farmers will not rush to sell, get money to repay agricultural materials, loans and so on.

This year, local farmers who store garlic and cotton have tasted sweetness, which also makes many local farmers who are left or left behind envy.

If the price is lower than the cotton farmers' psychological price of 6.5 yuan / Jin, there will be a wind of reluctant sale. If local ginning mills believe that the price is too high to pay, they will not exclude the situation of high quality cotton purchase in the surrounding provinces.

Not only that, the local community has disappeared.

In the new year, there is a tendency to jump to the test and unanimously optimistic about the cotton market in the new year. Most of the expected price will be significantly higher than that of 2015, which also gives cotton farmers confidence.

Of course, the situation of cotton and garlic can not be exactly the same. Cotton farmers say, "the dream of doubling the seed cotton price is always there. If it is realized, how about the price of seed cotton scale?