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Si Chen Yi: The United States Refers To The Blue Sky And The Euro Swaying.

2015/3/6 22:05:00 17

Si Chen YiMei ZhiEuro

Yesterday, the US "small non-agricultural" ADP employment data continued to maintain more than 200 thousand people, helping the US fingers move back to the top of the 96 pass after 11 and a half years.

On the contrary, the euro and the US dollar broke down and fell nearly 1% on Wednesday, without any serious adverse factors. It has reached a 11 year and a half low. This shows that investors have been short of euros before the European Central Bank (micro-blog) resolution. The further details of the 1 trillion Euro Bond purchase plan will be the focus of the market.

The report released Wednesday by ADP Employer Services, a private employment service, showed that the number of private employment increased by 212 thousand in February. Although it was 220 thousand people less than the market expectation, it continued to maintain more than 200 thousand people, showing the strong growth power of the US economy. This also made the us index run again to the 96 pass after 11 and a half years.

In the early morning, the Fed's brown leather book shows that most parts of the United States and industries

economic activity

The expansion continued from January to mid February, and consumer spending and car sales in most areas rose.

If Friday's non farm employment report shows that the employment growth rate is close to 235 thousand people's expected level or higher, this will maintain the market's expectation of the Fed's interest rate hike soon, and the US index is expected to go further.

Yesterday with

Europe

The central bank's resolution is approaching. The euro and the US dollar broke down in the US and Europe, which dropped by nearly 1%. In recent years, the data in the euro area have been weak and deflation has not been improved. At the end of the day, the European central bank governor Delaki may provide further details of the central bank's 1 trillion euro bond purchase plan to solve the problem of alleviating the shortage of government bonds in Europe.

Investors should also pay attention to several key issues at night, such as whether the ECB accepts Greece in its direct financing operation.

National debt

As collateral and how the bank adjusts its economic inflation expectations, it will expand the volatility of the euro to a certain extent.

Within days, it is recommended to be short in the vicinity of 1.1120, with a resistance level of 1.1240 and a supporting position of 1.1000.

In February, the Markit/CIPS service purchasing managers' index (PMI) dropped to 56.7 in January and 57.2 in January, which is lower than the survey's estimate of 57.5.

British service industry growth slowed, making the pound against the dollar fell to three weeks low.

In the past month, the pound has always been the most powerful currency except the US dollar, but the market expects the Bank of England to raise interest rates early next year, and the results of the May general election will also increase many uncertainties, making the market more prudent for the pound, and the pound is still empty and is expected to further weaken.

Within days, it is recommended to be short in the vicinity of 1.5270, with a resistance level of 1.5300 and a supporting position of 1.5200.

Overnight, the Central Bank of Canada (BOC) announced that it will maintain the 0.75% benchmark interest rate unchanged. The central bank said the risk faced by the country's inflation rate has been more balanced. The Canadian financial environment has been substantially relaxed in January after the interest rate cut and the global financial situation.

This caused the US dollar to fall sharply against the Canadian dollar, but the decline was supported by the 1.24 pass, the lowest to 1.2406, and the exchange rate stabilized near the low position. In view of the recent strong upward trend in the US dollar, the exchange rate is expected to have a rebound.

Within the next day, it is suggested that the short line should do more near 1.2400, with a resistance level of 1.2540 and a supporting position of 1.2380.

The Australian dollar to the US dollar: within the near future, the short line will be short in the vicinity of 0.7850, with a resistance level of 0.7880 and a supporting position of 0.7750.

The New York dollar to the US dollar: within the short term, it will be short in the vicinity of 0.7610, with a resistance level of 0.7660 and a supporting position of 0.7490.

US dollar to Japanese Yen: within the near future, we propose to do more near the end of 119.20, with a resistance level of 120.80 and a supporting position of 118.40.

USD to Swiss Franc: within the next day, it is suggested that the short line should do more near 0.9620, with a resistance level of 0.9680 and a supporting position of 0.9600.

Spot gold: within days, it is suggested that the short line should be done near 1200, with resistance level of 1212, 1223, and supporting position of 1192 and 1181.

Crude oil: within days, it is suggested that the short line be short in the vicinity of 52, and the resistance level is 52.70 and 53.70, and the supporting position is 50.40 and 48.50.


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